Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Hobart ChargersHOME · -

97 : 892023.07.08 · 종료

Keilor ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.8%

VALUE EDGE+69.8%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADEA

Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-11.50 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25

190.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hobart Chargers

W · 102-87W · 89-102W · 80-95L · 90-100L · 95-87

Keilor Thunder

W · 77-92L · 90-105L · 88-89L · 89-91L · 103-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.10	Keilor Thunder	107 : 83	Hobart Chargers
2024.05.18	Keilor Thunder	77 : 69	Hobart Chargers
2023.07.08	Hobart Chargers	97 : 89	Keilor Thunder
2023.05.20	Keilor Thunder	78 : 81	Hobart Chargers