Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Melbourne TigersHOME · -

87 : 912023.07.07 · 종료

KilsythAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY33.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +66.4%

VALUE EDGE+66.4%

FAIR ODDS1.51

GRADEA

Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsKilsyth

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+9.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00

167.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.00

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation14.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

66.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

33.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Melbourne Tigers

L · 82-73W · 71-72W · 100-85L · 99-74W · 106-88

Kilsyth

W · 90-98L · 87-77L · 96-97W · 93-68W · 90-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.23	Kilsyth	83 : 95	Melbourne Tigers
2026.04.26	Melbourne Tigers	98 : 79	Kilsyth
2024.06.22	Kilsyth	77 : 44	Melbourne Tigers
2023.07.07	Melbourne Tigers	87 : 91	Kilsyth
2018.04.21	Kilsyth	101 : 46	Melbourne Tigers
2016.04.23	Kilsyth	73 : 63	Melbourne Tigers