Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
77 : 922023.07.07 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.2%
VALUE EDGE+60.2%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
L · 97-85L · 85-80W · 92-79L · 93-68L · 102-81
Keilor Thunder
L · 90-105L · 88-89L · 89-91L · 103-69W · 84-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.21 | Keilor Thunder | 105 : 96 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.07.07 | NW Tasmania | 77 : 92 | Keilor Thunder |