Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

RingwoodHOME · -

75 : 682023.07.07 · 종료

GeelongAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY65.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +65.1%

VALUE EDGE+65.1%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADEA

RingwoodAnalysis MetricsGeelong

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00

186.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.67

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.6 / 15

Prediction separation13.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

34.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

65.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ringwood

W · 94-84W · 98-96L · 87-110L · 100-85L · 98-105

Geelong

L · 71-72W · 96-81L · 100-90W · 89-73L · 79-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.11	Geelong	92 : 94	Ringwood
2026.05.10	Ringwood	105 : 95	Geelong
2024.05.12	Ringwood	81 : 84	Geelong
2023.07.07	Ringwood	75 : 68	Geelong