Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

WaverleyHOME · -

82 : 732023.07.02 · 종료

Melbourne TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY35.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +64.1%

VALUE EDGE+64.1%

FAIR ODDS1.56

GRADEA

WaverleyAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-5.92 Point MarginHigher is better +9.25

187.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.75

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.2 / 15

Prediction separation12.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

64.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

35.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Waverley

L · 98-94W · 54-90W · 95-87W · 93-90W · 80-97

Melbourne Tigers

W · 71-72W · 100-85L · 99-74W · 106-88L · 103-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.02	Waverley	92 : 73	Melbourne Tigers
2024.07.11	Melbourne Tigers	88 : 71	Waverley
2024.04.20	Waverley	93 : 94	Melbourne Tigers
2023.07.02	Waverley	82 : 73	Melbourne Tigers
2023.04.13	Melbourne Tigers	88 : 91	Waverley