Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
90 : 712023.07.02 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.0%
VALUE EDGE+77.0%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsDandenong
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 94-65W · 100-90W · 85-105W · 98-105W · 91-77
Dandenong
L · 98-96L · 90-95L · 89-73L · 84-81W · 107-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.27 | Dandenong | 100 : 98 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.06.30 | Dandenong | 72 : 86 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.07.02 | Mt Gambier | 90 : 71 | Dandenong |
| 2018.06.01 | Mt Gambier | 64 : 80 | Dandenong |
| 2016.04.23 | Dandenong | 80 : 93 | Mt Gambier |
| 2015.05.02 | Dandenong | 93 : 88 | Mt Gambier |