Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

BallaratHOME · -

82 : 682023.07.02 · 종료

ElthamAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.6%

VALUE EDGE+51.6%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADEA

BallaratAnalysis MetricsEltham

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better +14.58

203.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.42

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.5 / 15

Prediction separation1.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ballarat

W · 96-97L · 85-105W · 102-81L · 106-88L · 87-99

Eltham

W · 98-94L · 96-81L · 67-103L · 90-78W · 114-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.18	Ballarat	60 : 107	Eltham
2024.08.10	Ballarat	70 : 79	Eltham
2024.07.13	Eltham	93 : 75	Ballarat
2024.05.11	Ballarat	95 : 82	Eltham
2023.07.02	Ballarat	82 : 68	Eltham