Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Diamond ValleyHOME · -

97 : 852023.07.02 · 종료

NW TasmaniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.3%

VALUE EDGE+69.3%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADEA

Diamond ValleyAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -5.08

183.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.75

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 44.4%

0.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Diamond Valley

W · 87-77W · 89-91W · 96-81W · 96-86L · 91-77

NW Tasmania

L · 85-80W · 92-79L · 93-68L · 102-81L · 69-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.06.28	NW Tasmania	93 : 78	Diamond Valley
2023.07.02	Diamond Valley	97 : 85	NW Tasmania
2018.07.14	NW Tasmania	91 : 95	Diamond Valley