Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
80 : 952023.07.01 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.4%
VALUE EDGE+63.4%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.5 / 15
Prediction separation11.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
L · 54-90L · 96-81L · 62-74L · 78-65L · 114-66
Hobart Chargers
L · 90-100L · 95-87L · 96-86W · 93-80L · 75-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.24 | Hobart Chargers | 99 : 106 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2024.04.26 | Hobart Chargers | 88 : 79 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.07.01 | Casey Cavaliers | 80 : 95 | Hobart Chargers |