Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
90 : 1052023.07.01 · 종료
NunawadingAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsNunawading
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.83
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
194.00
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
L · 88-89L · 89-91L · 103-69W · 84-81W · 77-92
Nunawading
W · 88-96L · 92-79W · 90-100L · 90-85L · 76-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.01 | Nunawading | 83 : 79 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2026.04.19 | Nunawading | 102 : 83 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.05.19 | Nunawading | 98 : 77 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.07.01 | Keilor Thunder | 90 : 105 | Nunawading |