Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KnoxHOME · -
85 : 802023.07.01 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.3%
VALUE EDGE+78.3%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
KnoxAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+7.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
188.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
44.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Knox
W · 67-103W · 103-69W · 76-95W · 79-97W · 63-77
NW Tasmania
W · 92-79L · 93-68L · 102-81L · 69-76W · 83-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.06.23 | Knox | 95 : 70 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.07.01 | Knox | 85 : 80 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.04.21 | NW Tasmania | 62 : 100 | Knox |