Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
71 : 722023.06.30 · 종료
Melbourne TigersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.7%
VALUE EDGE+70.7%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.25
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
W · 96-81L · 100-90W · 89-73L · 79-97L · 109-97
Melbourne Tigers
W · 100-85L · 99-74W · 106-88L · 103-64L · 75-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.09 | Geelong | 90 : 97 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2024.06.15 | Geelong | 72 : 66 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2023.06.30 | Geelong | 71 : 72 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2018.06.30 | Geelong | 78 : 76 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.08.13 | Geelong | 115 : 93 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.05.01 | Melbourne Tigers | 88 : 96 | Geelong |