Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

ElthamHOME · -

98 : 942023.06.30 · 종료

WaverleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +63.5%

VALUE EDGE+63.5%

FAIR ODDS1.57

GRADEA

ElthamAnalysis MetricsWaverley

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+14.58 Point MarginHigher is better -5.92

169.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 187.42

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation11.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

63.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Eltham

L · 96-81L · 67-103L · 90-78W · 114-66W · 70-87

Waverley

W · 54-90W · 95-87W · 93-90W · 80-97L · 77-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.09	Eltham	89 : 76	Waverley
2024.07.04	Eltham	94 : 89	Waverley
2023.07.22	Eltham	97 : 68	Waverley
2023.06.30	Eltham	98 : 94	Waverley