Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia

Keilor ThunderHOME · -
88 : 892023.06.25 · 종료
Bendigo BravesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.5%
VALUE EDGE+59.5%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsBendigo Braves
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.00
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
L · 89-91L · 103-69W · 84-81W · 77-92L · 106-103
Bendigo Braves
W · 78-65L · 80-97W · 93-107W · 109-97L · 107-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.17 | Bendigo Braves | 69 : 93 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.06.22 | Bendigo Braves | 85 : 111 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.06.25 | Keilor Thunder | 88 : 89 | Bendigo Braves |