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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
88 : 892023.06.25 · 종료
Bendigo BravesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.5%
VALUE EDGE+59.5%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsBendigo Braves
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better -10.33
173.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.00
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
L · 89-91L · 103-69W · 84-81W · 77-92L · 106-103
Bendigo Braves
W · 78-65L · 80-97W · 93-107W · 109-97L · 107-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.17Bendigo Braves69 : 93Keilor Thunder
2024.06.22Bendigo Braves85 : 111Keilor Thunder
2023.06.25Keilor Thunder88 : 89Bendigo Braves