Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
96 : 812023.06.25 · 종료
ElthamAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.2%
VALUE EDGE+51.2%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsEltham
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.58
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
1.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation1.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
L · 100-90W · 89-73L · 79-97L · 109-97W · 90-82
Eltham
L · 67-103L · 90-78W · 114-66W · 70-87W · 100-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Eltham | 99 : 81 | Geelong |
| 2024.07.20 | Eltham | 86 : 81 | Geelong |
| 2024.06.02 | Eltham | 92 : 70 | Geelong |
| 2023.06.25 | Geelong | 96 : 81 | Eltham |