Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
89 : 912023.06.24 · 종료
Diamond ValleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.8%
VALUE EDGE+51.8%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.67
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
183.00
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
L · 103-69W · 84-81W · 77-92L · 106-103L · 88-94
Diamond Valley
W · 96-81W · 96-86L · 91-77L · 105-80L · 84-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.02 | Diamond Valley | 98 : 101 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.07.05 | Keilor Thunder | 112 : 93 | Diamond Valley |
| 2024.04.09 | Diamond Valley | 106 : 110 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.06.24 | Keilor Thunder | 89 : 91 | Diamond Valley |
| 2023.04.29 | Diamond Valley | 85 : 93 | Keilor Thunder |