Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

NW TasmaniaHOME · -

92 : 792023.06.24 · 종료

NunawadingAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY66.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +66.3%

VALUE EDGE+66.3%

FAIR ODDS1.51

GRADEA

NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsNunawading

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-5.08 Point MarginHigher is better +6.83

169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 194.00

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation13.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

33.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

66.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

NW Tasmania

L · 93-68L · 102-81L · 69-76W · 83-78L · 100-68

Nunawading

W · 90-100L · 90-85L · 76-95W · 105-80W · 103-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.07.13	Nunawading	75 : 71	NW Tasmania
2023.06.24	NW Tasmania	92 : 79	Nunawading
2018.06.24	Nunawading	86 : 73	NW Tasmania
2016.08.13	NW Tasmania	85 : 97	Nunawading
2015.08.01	Nunawading	80 : 92	NW Tasmania