Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

KilsythHOME · -

96 : 972023.06.24 · 종료

BallaratAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +63.8%

VALUE EDGE+63.8%

FAIR ODDS1.57

GRADES

KilsythAnalysis MetricsBallarat

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

180.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.58

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement15.0 / 15

Prediction separation11.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

63.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kilsyth

W · 93-68W · 90-85L · 93-90L · 102-80L · 107-73

Ballarat

L · 85-105W · 102-81L · 106-88L · 87-99L · 95-108

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.02	Kilsyth	98 : 67	Ballarat
2024.05.12	Kilsyth	68 : 80	Ballarat
2023.06.24	Kilsyth	96 : 97	Ballarat
2018.06.30	Ballarat	89 : 104	Kilsyth
2016.07.23	Kilsyth	95 : 79	Ballarat
2015.04.26	Ballarat	78 : 100	Kilsyth