Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
WaverleyHOME · -
95 : 872023.06.18 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.0%
VALUE EDGE+55.0%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
WaverleyAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-5.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
187.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation4.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley
W · 93-90W · 80-97L · 77-92W · 86-90W · 95-108
Hobart Chargers
L · 96-86W · 93-80L · 75-99L · 70-87L · 83-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Hobart Chargers | 92 : 94 | Waverley |
| 2026.04.12 | Waverley | 90 : 75 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.04.13 | Hobart Chargers | 85 : 93 | Waverley |
| 2023.06.18 | Waverley | 95 : 87 | Hobart Chargers |