Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KnoxHOME · -
103 : 692023.06.17 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.2%
VALUE EDGE+72.2%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
KnoxAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+7.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
188.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Knox
W · 76-95W · 79-97W · 63-77L · 86-90W · 80-93
Keilor Thunder
W · 84-81W · 77-92L · 106-103L · 88-94L · 78-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Keilor Thunder | 88 : 93 | Knox |
| 2024.07.13 | Knox | 104 : 68 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.06.17 | Knox | 103 : 69 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.04.02 | Keilor Thunder | 73 : 88 | Knox |