Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Diamond ValleyHOME · -
96 : 862023.06.17 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.2%
VALUE EDGE+54.2%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
Diamond ValleyAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-1.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
183.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Diamond Valley
L · 91-77L · 105-80L · 84-85W · 75-89W · 107-93
Hobart Chargers
W · 93-80L · 75-99L · 70-87L · 83-78W · 78-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.16 | Hobart Chargers | 107 : 78 | Diamond Valley |
| 2024.06.29 | Hobart Chargers | 99 : 76 | Diamond Valley |
| 2023.06.17 | Diamond Valley | 96 : 86 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.07.06 | Diamond Valley | 78 : 91 | Hobart Chargers |