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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
62 : 742023.06.17 · 종료
Sandringham SabresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +62.6%
VALUE EDGE+62.6%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsSandringham Sabres
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+2.08 Point MarginHigher is better +3.08
182.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 188.58
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
13.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
62.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
L · 78-65L · 114-66W · 64-72L · 78-90L · 72-87
Sandringham Sabres
W · 99-74W · 87-99W · 84-85W · 100-68W · 84-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.26Sandringham Sabres99 : 91Casey Cavaliers
2026.05.09Casey Cavaliers93 : 92Sandringham Sabres
2024.04.10Sandringham Sabres81 : 87Casey Cavaliers
2023.06.17Casey Cavaliers62 : 74Sandringham Sabres
2023.04.16Sandringham Sabres83 : 64Casey Cavaliers