Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
89 : 732023.06.17 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.2%
VALUE EDGE+69.2%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEB
GeelongAnalysis MetricsDandenong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
13.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
L · 79-97L · 109-97W · 90-82W · 72-98W · 64-79
Dandenong
L · 84-81W · 107-73L · 89-103L · 92-95L · 87-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.31 | Dandenong | 97 : 88 | Geelong |
| 2024.07.06 | Geelong | 78 : 65 | Dandenong |
| 2024.04.27 | Dandenong | 78 : 74 | Geelong |
| 2023.06.17 | Geelong | 89 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2018.05.25 | Geelong | 99 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2016.06.18 | Geelong | 85 : 94 | Dandenong |
| 2016.04.30 | Dandenong | 87 : 85 | Geelong |
| 2015.08.29 | Geelong | 97 : 80 | Dandenong |
| 2015.07.25 | Geelong | 78 : 80 | Dandenong |
| 2015.05.09 | Dandenong | 79 : 101 | Geelong |