Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
91 : 772023.06.09 · 종료
Diamond ValleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.5%
VALUE EDGE+58.5%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.67
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
183.00
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation7.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 102-80L · 63-77L · 84-95L · 71-77L · 100-76
Diamond Valley
L · 105-80L · 84-85W · 75-89W · 107-93W · 80-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.11 | Diamond Valley | 94 : 81 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.06.16 | Diamond Valley | 81 : 96 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.06.09 | Mt Gambier | 91 : 77 | Diamond Valley |
| 2018.04.20 | Mt Gambier | 95 : 63 | Diamond Valley |