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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
Sandringham SabresHOME · -
99 : 742023.06.08 · 종료
Melbourne TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.6%
VALUE EDGE+78.6%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
Sandringham SabresAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+3.08 Point MarginHigher is better +9.25
188.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sandringham Sabres
W · 87-99W · 84-85W · 100-68W · 84-95W · 125-89
Melbourne Tigers
W · 106-88L · 103-64L · 75-89L · 80-93L · 100-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.08.01Melbourne Tigers72 : 68Sandringham Sabres
2026.07.09Melbourne Tigers97 : 101Sandringham Sabres
2026.04.16Sandringham Sabres66 : 81Melbourne Tigers
2024.05.04Sandringham Sabres85 : 71Melbourne Tigers
2023.07.16Melbourne Tigers74 : 84Sandringham Sabres
2023.06.08Sandringham Sabres99 : 74Melbourne Tigers