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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
Bendigo BravesHOME · -
78 : 652023.06.04 · 종료
Casey CavaliersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.4%
VALUE EDGE+67.4%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
Bendigo BravesAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better +2.08
170.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.42
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation14.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bendigo Braves
L · 80-97W · 93-107W · 109-97L · 107-93W · 89-85
Casey Cavaliers
L · 114-66W · 64-72L · 78-90L · 72-87L · 104-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.27Bendigo Braves84 : 96Casey Cavaliers
2026.05.17Casey Cavaliers109 : 76Bendigo Braves
2024.05.18Bendigo Braves81 : 64Casey Cavaliers
2024.04.14Casey Cavaliers79 : 81Bendigo Braves
2023.06.04Bendigo Braves78 : 65Casey Cavaliers
2023.04.21Casey Cavaliers92 : 60Bendigo Braves