Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
84 : 812023.06.03 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsDandenong
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
W · 77-92L · 106-103L · 88-94L · 78-81L · 125-89
Dandenong
W · 107-73L · 89-103L · 92-95L · 87-79L · 89-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.24 | Keilor Thunder | 94 : 79 | Dandenong |
| 2024.06.29 | Keilor Thunder | 72 : 75 | Dandenong |
| 2024.05.11 | Dandenong | 97 : 101 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.06.03 | Keilor Thunder | 84 : 81 | Dandenong |