Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
ElthamHOME · -
114 : 662023.06.03 · 종료
Casey CavaliersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME86.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+86.1%
VALUE EDGE+86.1%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
ElthamAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+14.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.08
169.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.42
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eltham
W · 70-87W · 100-91W · 99-76L · 93-80W · 102-66
Casey Cavaliers
W · 64-72L · 78-90L · 72-87L · 104-85L · 79-111
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.02 | Casey Cavaliers | 82 : 88 | Eltham |
| 2024.06.15 | Casey Cavaliers | 71 : 100 | Eltham |
| 2023.06.03 | Eltham | 114 : 66 | Casey Cavaliers |