Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
BallaratHOME · -
87 : 992023.06.03 · 종료
Sandringham SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
BallaratAnalysis MetricsSandringham Sabres
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
188.58
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
L · 95-108L · 92-99L · 106-87L · 87-75W · 97-88
Sandringham Sabres
W · 84-85W · 100-68W · 84-95W · 125-89L · 87-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Sandringham Sabres | 107 : 111 | Ballarat |
| 2024.08.03 | Sandringham Sabres | 101 : 103 | Ballarat |
| 2024.07.05 | Ballarat | 99 : 85 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2023.06.03 | Ballarat | 87 : 99 | Sandringham Sabres |