Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
79 : 972023.06.03 · 종료
KnoxAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.3%
VALUE EDGE+64.3%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsKnox
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.50
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
188.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
L · 109-97W · 90-82W · 72-98W · 64-79W · 82-93
Knox
W · 63-77L · 86-90W · 80-93W · 92-99W · 87-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.16 | Geelong | 75 : 103 | Knox |
| 2024.07.07 | Knox | 88 : 75 | Geelong |
| 2023.06.03 | Geelong | 79 : 97 | Knox |