Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
83 : 782023.06.02 · 종료
RingwoodAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.9%
VALUE EDGE+53.9%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsRingwood
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.17
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
L · 100-68W · 92-95L · 72-98L · 91-89W · 79-111
Ringwood
L · 93-107W · 88-94L · 81-88W · 104-85L · 81-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.18 | Ringwood | 82 : 87 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.06.02 | NW Tasmania | 83 : 78 | Ringwood |