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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
FrankstonHOME · -
106 : 1032023.05.27 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM63 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +83.8%
VALUE EDGE+83.8%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEB
FrankstonAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+6.33 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25
185.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

63/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
83.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
16.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston
W · 78-90W · 81-88W · 106-87L · 79-73W · 100-72
Keilor Thunder
L · 88-94L · 78-81L · 125-89W · 98-89L · 102-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.09Frankston104 : 100Keilor Thunder
2024.04.05Frankston115 : 98Keilor Thunder
2023.05.27Frankston106 : 103Keilor Thunder