Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Bendigo BravesHOME · -
109 : 972023.05.27 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.2%
VALUE EDGE+74.2%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
Bendigo BravesAnalysis MetricsGeelong
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
170.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bendigo Braves
L · 107-93W · 89-85L · 79-106W · 94-92L · 91-72
Geelong
W · 90-82W · 72-98W · 64-79W · 82-93W · 106-105
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.02 | Bendigo Braves | 83 : 69 | Geelong |
| 2024.04.12 | Geelong | 81 : 88 | Bendigo Braves |
| 2023.05.27 | Bendigo Braves | 109 : 97 | Geelong |
| 2023.04.15 | Geelong | 85 : 96 | Bendigo Braves |