Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Hobart ChargersHOME · -
70 : 872023.05.26 · 종료
ElthamAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.8%
VALUE EDGE+50.8%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEA
Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsEltham
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-11.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.58
190.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.42
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation0.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers
L · 83-78W · 78-81L · 64-79W · 77-89W · 79-106
Eltham
W · 100-91W · 99-76L · 93-80W · 102-66L · 89-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.26 | Hobart Chargers | 87 : 97 | Eltham |
| 2026.05.23 | Eltham | 108 : 65 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.05.26 | Eltham | 74 : 85 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2023.05.26 | Hobart Chargers | 70 : 87 | Eltham |