Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
88 : 942023.05.21 · 종료
RingwoodAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.7%
VALUE EDGE+56.7%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsRingwood
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.17
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
L · 78-81L · 125-89W · 98-89L · 102-66W · 85-93
Ringwood
L · 81-88W · 104-85L · 81-71L · 92-79L · 77-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.27 | Keilor Thunder | 88 : 82 | Ringwood |
| 2024.06.15 | Ringwood | 70 : 77 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.05.21 | Keilor Thunder | 88 : 94 | Ringwood |