Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

Melbourne TigersHOME · -

75 : 892023.05.21 · 종료

Diamond ValleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.2%

VALUE EDGE+56.2%

FAIR ODDS1.78

GRADEA

Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+9.25 Point MarginHigher is better -1.67

167.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 183.00

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.9 / 15

Prediction separation5.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Melbourne Tigers

L · 80-93L · 100-91W · 100-76W · 69-84L · 82-71

Diamond Valley

W · 107-93W · 80-89L · 82-93W · 87-75L · 85-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.21	Melbourne Tigers	88 : 83	Diamond Valley
2024.04.21	Diamond Valley	79 : 89	Melbourne Tigers
2023.05.21	Melbourne Tigers	75 : 89	Diamond Valley
2018.06.23	Melbourne Tigers	78 : 88	Diamond Valley
2018.04.28	Diamond Valley	78 : 85	Melbourne Tigers