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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
KnoxHOME · -
86 : 902023.05.21 · 종료
WaverleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.9%
VALUE EDGE+65.9%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
KnoxAnalysis MetricsWaverley
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+7.50 Point MarginHigher is better -5.92
188.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 187.42
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Knox
W · 80-93W · 92-99W · 87-76W · 81-71W · 74-60
Waverley
W · 95-108W · 87-79W · 71-77W · 91-89L · 73-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.20Knox94 : 102Waverley
2023.05.21Knox86 : 90Waverley