Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KilsythHOME · -
83 : 782023.05.21 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.1%
VALUE EDGE+55.1%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
KilsythAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
180.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth
L · 64-72L · 80-89L · 98-89L · 94-92L · 108-92
Hobart Chargers
W · 78-81L · 64-79W · 77-89W · 79-106W · 82-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.11 | Kilsyth | 89 : 105 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.06.28 | Hobart Chargers | 86 : 65 | Kilsyth |
| 2023.05.21 | Kilsyth | 83 : 78 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.07.28 | Kilsyth | 96 : 98 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.04.06 | Hobart Chargers | 72 : 80 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.07.08 | Hobart Chargers | 81 : 41 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.05.15 | Kilsyth | 70 : 92 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2015.08.07 | Hobart Chargers | 53 : 63 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.04.25 | Kilsyth | 88 : 66 | Hobart Chargers |