Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
DandenongHOME · -
92 : 952023.05.20 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
DandenongAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
44.4%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong
L · 87-79L · 89-85L · 99-76L · 74-103L · 97-88
NW Tasmania
L · 72-98L · 91-89W · 79-111L · 69-84L · 84-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.07.14 | Dandenong | 81 : 75 | NW Tasmania |
| 2024.04.13 | NW Tasmania | 71 : 101 | Dandenong |
| 2023.05.20 | Dandenong | 92 : 95 | NW Tasmania |
| 2018.06.30 | NW Tasmania | 84 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2018.05.12 | Dandenong | 89 : 81 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.08.07 | Dandenong | 90 : 63 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.05.07 | NW Tasmania | 85 : 77 | Dandenong |
| 2015.07.11 | Dandenong | 94 : 83 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.05.16 | NW Tasmania | 87 : 71 | Dandenong |