Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

KilsythHOME · -

64 : 722023.05.20 · 종료

Casey CavaliersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY18.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +82.0%

VALUE EDGE+82.0%

FAIR ODDS1.22

GRADEA

KilsythAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better +2.08

180.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.42

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

82.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

18.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kilsyth

L · 80-89L · 98-89L · 94-92L · 108-92L · 97-87

Casey Cavaliers

L · 78-90L · 72-87L · 104-85L · 79-111L · 74-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.04	Kilsyth	105 : 86	Casey Cavaliers
2024.05.11	Casey Cavaliers	69 : 87	Kilsyth
2023.05.20	Kilsyth	64 : 72	Casey Cavaliers