Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
BallaratHOME · -
95 : 1082023.05.20 · 종료
WaverleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.3%
VALUE EDGE+65.3%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEB
BallaratAnalysis MetricsWaverley
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.92
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
187.42
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation13.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
L · 92-99L · 106-87L · 87-75W · 97-88W · 84-94
Waverley
W · 87-79W · 71-77W · 91-89L · 73-78L · 73-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.27 | Ballarat | 98 : 130 | Waverley |
| 2024.06.16 | Waverley | 91 : 98 | Ballarat |
| 2023.05.20 | Ballarat | 95 : 108 | Waverley |