Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
78 : 902023.05.14 · 종료
FrankstonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.3%
VALUE EDGE+52.3%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsFrankston
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation1.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
L · 72-87L · 104-85L · 79-111L · 74-60W · 90-63
Frankston
W · 81-88W · 106-87L · 79-73W · 100-72W · 94-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.11 | Casey Cavaliers | 90 : 101 | Frankston |
| 2024.06.29 | Casey Cavaliers | 74 : 100 | Frankston |
| 2023.07.08 | Frankston | 90 : 69 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.05.14 | Casey Cavaliers | 78 : 90 | Frankston |