Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

WaverleyHOME · -

87 : 792023.05.14 · 종료

DandenongAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.0%

VALUE EDGE+60.0%

FAIR ODDS1.67

GRADEA

WaverleyAnalysis MetricsDandenong

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-5.92 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25

187.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.7 / 15

Prediction separation8.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Waverley

W · 71-77W · 91-89L · 73-78L · 73-79L · 97-82

Dandenong

L · 89-85L · 99-76L · 74-103L · 97-88L · 100-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.03	Waverley	85 : 98	Dandenong
2024.04.30	Waverley	90 : 82	Dandenong
2023.07.08	Dandenong	89 : 104	Waverley
2023.05.14	Waverley	87 : 79	Dandenong