Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KilsythHOME · -
80 : 892023.05.13 · 종료
Diamond ValleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.6%
VALUE EDGE+70.6%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
KilsythAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.67
180.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
183.00
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth
L · 98-89L · 94-92L · 108-92L · 97-87W · 81-88
Diamond Valley
L · 82-93W · 87-75L · 85-93W · 73-79L · 94-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.27 | Kilsyth | 95 : 90 | Diamond Valley |
| 2024.07.14 | Diamond Valley | 79 : 80 | Kilsyth |
| 2023.07.01 | Diamond Valley | 87 : 77 | Kilsyth |
| 2023.05.13 | Kilsyth | 80 : 89 | Diamond Valley |
| 2018.05.19 | Kilsyth | 94 : 74 | Diamond Valley |