Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Casey CavaliersHOME · -

72 : 872023.05.13 · 종료

NunawadingAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.1%

VALUE EDGE+51.1%

FAIR ODDS1.96

GRADEA

Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsNunawading

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+2.08 Point MarginHigher is better +6.83

182.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 194.00

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.2 / 15

Prediction separation0.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Casey Cavaliers

L · 104-85L · 79-111L · 74-60W · 90-63W · 92-60

Nunawading

L · 77-89W · 93-80W · 73-78W · 108-92L · 82-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.16	Nunawading	95 : 103	Casey Cavaliers
2024.06.07	Casey Cavaliers	77 : 92	Nunawading
2023.05.13	Casey Cavaliers	72 : 87	Nunawading