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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
Sandringham SabresHOME · -
125 : 892023.05.13 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.8%
VALUE EDGE+71.8%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
Sandringham SabresAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+3.08 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25
188.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sandringham Sabres
L · 87-76W · 74-103W · 89-75W · 97-82W · 87-92
Keilor Thunder
W · 98-89L · 102-66W · 85-93L · 106-82W · 84-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.13Sandringham Sabres78 : 87Keilor Thunder
2026.04.18Keilor Thunder86 : 79Sandringham Sabres
2024.07.07Sandringham Sabres83 : 72Keilor Thunder
2023.05.13Sandringham Sabres125 : 89Keilor Thunder