Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
71 : 772023.05.12 · 종료
WaverleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.2%
VALUE EDGE+81.2%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsWaverley
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.92
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
187.42
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
L · 100-76L · 106-105W · 92-79W · 106-82W · 94-103
Waverley
W · 91-89L · 73-78L · 73-79L · 97-82L · 104-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Mt Gambier | 85 : 110 | Waverley |
| 2024.04.07 | Waverley | 63 : 67 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.07.15 | Waverley | 78 : 83 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.05.12 | Mt Gambier | 71 : 77 | Waverley |