Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Hobart ChargersHOME · -
64 : 792023.05.12 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.6%
VALUE EDGE+56.6%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsGeelong
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-11.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
190.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers
W · 77-89W · 79-106W · 82-71W · 76-73L · 83-94
Geelong
W · 82-93W · 106-105W · 79-73L · 90-63L · 87-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Geelong | 94 : 89 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.06.22 | Geelong | 87 : 85 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2023.05.12 | Hobart Chargers | 64 : 79 | Geelong |
| 2018.08.10 | Hobart Chargers | 86 : 71 | Geelong |
| 2018.05.06 | Hobart Chargers | 92 : 86 | Geelong |
| 2016.07.22 | Hobart Chargers | 90 : 79 | Geelong |
| 2016.05.14 | Geelong | 97 : 87 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2015.04.17 | Hobart Chargers | 53 : 62 | Geelong |