Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
WaverleyHOME · -
91 : 892023.05.07 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.8%
VALUE EDGE+51.8%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
WaverleyAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-5.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
187.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.75
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
44.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley
L · 73-78L · 73-79L · 97-82L · 104-82W · 88-91
NW Tasmania
W · 79-111L · 69-84L · 84-94L · 62-100W · 95-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.26 | Waverley | 117 : 77 | NW Tasmania |
| 2024.04.12 | NW Tasmania | 77 : 97 | Waverley |
| 2023.05.07 | Waverley | 91 : 89 | NW Tasmania |