Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NunawadingHOME · -
77 : 892023.05.07 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADES
NunawadingAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+6.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
194.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nunawading
W · 93-80W · 73-78W · 108-92L · 82-79W · 104-76
Hobart Chargers
W · 79-106W · 82-71W · 76-73L · 83-94W · 99-108
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.27 | Hobart Chargers | 87 : 85 | Nunawading |
| 2024.04.20 | Nunawading | 72 : 81 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2023.06.23 | Hobart Chargers | 90 : 100 | Nunawading |
| 2023.05.07 | Nunawading | 77 : 89 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.08.18 | Nunawading | 58 : 72 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.06.01 | Hobart Chargers | 86 : 82 | Nunawading |
| 2018.05.19 | Nunawading | 97 : 93 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2016.08.12 | Hobart Chargers | 81 : 77 | Nunawading |
| 2015.07.11 | Nunawading | 79 : 75 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2015.05.15 | Hobart Chargers | 68 : 61 | Nunawading |